Prediction markets

 

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 202924.9%
Before 20279%
Before Jul 1, 20263%
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Before January 20, 2029 - 24.9¢Before 2027 - 9¢Before Jul 1, 2026 - 3¢
 

Will the SAVE Act become law

Before Jan 4, 202711.1%
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Before Jan 4, 2027 - 11.1¢
 

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 50 days97%
At least 55 days87%
At least 60 days69%
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At least 50 days - 97¢At least 55 days - 87¢At least 60 days - 69¢
 

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General

Lee Zeldin63%
Todd Blanche25%
Ken Paxton6%
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Lee Zeldin - 63¢Todd Blanche - 25¢Ken Paxton - 6¢
 

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026

Pam Bondi99%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer83%
Kash Patel73%
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Pam Bondi - 99¢Lori Chavez-DeRemer - 83¢Kash Patel - 73¢
 

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 202715%
Before August7%
Before July4%
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Before 2027 - 15¢Before August - 7¢Before July - 4¢
Jan 20
1.42M1,415,661
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
25%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 4
1.30M1,299,494
Will the SAVE Act become law
Before Jan 4, 2027
11%
Feb 14
4.58M4,576,001
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 50 days
97%
+ 27 contracts
Jan 20
980k980,853
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General
Lee Zeldin
63%
+ 17 contracts
Jan 1
1.35M1,348,218
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026
Pam Bondi
99%
+ 36 contracts
Jan 1
1.17M1,172,836
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
15%
+ 8 contracts
Feb 1
417k417,687
Will crypto market structure legislation become law
Before 2027
49%
+ 6 contracts
Nov 3
125k125,826
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Billionaire tax passes
36%
Jan 1
87k87,768
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
Before 2027
12%
Jan 1
633k633,475
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
11%
+ 4 contracts
Jan 21
31k31,632
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks
Before Jan 21, 2029
56%
+ 1 contracts
Jan 1
29k29,483
Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
62%
May 1
14k14,533
Will Trump order tariffs in Apr 2026
Yes
91%
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